The United States Institute of Peace
(USIP) has listed the states that could be hit by violence during the 2019
general elections in Nigeria.
The institute said there is the
likelihood of violence in, at least, eight states during the election.
This was part of USIP report it
released on the forthcoming general elections.
The institute said the report was
based on its interactions with Nigerians from different sectors.
It had also predicted in the report that President Muhammadu Buhari of the All
Progressives Congress, APC, may win the 2019 presidential election.
According to USIP, “states such as
Adamawa, Anambra, Ekiti, Kaduna, Kano, Lagos, Plateau, and Rivers are of
greater risks of election violence.”
USIP added that it was up to the
combined efforts of political parties, security agencies and the Independent
National Electoral Commission, INEC, to curb violence in the election.
“Nigerians feared, however, that any
regression from the level of performance achieved by INEC in 2015 could lead to
violence, because some would view the failings not as a result of incompetence,
but as deliberate attempts to frustrate the will of the voters.
“Some states have developed
successful election conflict-mitigation practices. In the short amount of time
remaining, INEC and the police should undertake a number of key reforms,” it
said.
“The United States, along with other
international supporters of the electoral process, should also intensify their
efforts to reinforce the work of these key Nigerian institutions.
“Beyond institutional support,
rather than apply a conventional approach to electoral violence mitigation,
donor programming should adapt to Nigeria’s current context, political shifts,
and opportunities, and be sufficiently flexible to respond to the risks
distinct in each of Nigeria’s states.
“In advance of the election,
international diplomatic efforts to preempt electoral violence need to be
intensified. Regional and international actors should convey their expectations
that political parties effectively address their internal disputes, and be
ready to put on notice politicians responsible for escalating these disputes,”
it added.
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